Israel Implemented More Measures to Prevent Civilian Casualties Than Any Other Nation in History
No military fighting an entrenched enemy in dense urban
terrain in an area barely twice the size of Washington D.C. can
avoid all civilian casualties. Reports of over 25,000 Palestinians
killed, be they civilians or Hamas, have made headlines.
But Israel has taken more measures to avoid needless civilian
harm than virtually any other nation that's fought an urban war.
In fact, as someone who has served two tours in Iraq and
studied urban warfare for over a decade, Israel has taken
precautionary measures even the United States did not do
during its recent wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
I say this not to put Israel on a pedestal or to diminish the
human suffering of Gazans but rather to correct a number of
misperceptions when it comes to urban warfare.
First is the use of precision guided munitions (PGMs). This
term was introduced to nonmilitary audiences during the Gulf
War, when the U.S. fired 250,000 individual bombs and
missiles in just 43 days. Only a very small fraction of those
would fit the definition of PGMs, even though common
perceptions of that war, and its comparatively low civilian
casualty rate, was that it was a war of precision.
Let's compare that war, which did not ignite anywhere near the
same level of outrage internationally, to Israel's current war in
Gaza. The Israeli Defense Force has used many types of
PGMs to avoid civilian harm, including the use of munitions
like small diameter bombs (SDBs), as well as technologies
and tactics that increase the accuracy of non-PGMs. Israel
has also employed a tactic, when a military has air supremacy,
called dive bombing, as well as gathering pre-strike intelligence
on the presence of civilians from satellite imagery, scans of
cell phone presence, and other target observation techniques.
All of this is to do more pinpoint targeted to avoid civilian
deaths. In other words, the simplistic notion that a military
must use more PGMs versus non-PGMs in a war is false.
A second misperception is a military's choice of munitions and
how they apply the proportionality principle required by the
laws of armed conflict. Here there is an assessment of the
value of the military target to be gained from an act that is
weighted against the expected collateral damage estimate
caused by said act. An external viewer with no access to all
information cannot say such things as a 500-pound bomb
would achieve the military mission of a 2,000-pound bomb
with no mention of the context of the value of the military target
or the context of the strike—like the target being in a deep
tunnel that would require great penetration.
Third, one of the best ways to prevent civilian casualties in
urban warfare is to provide warning and evacuate urban areas
before the full combined air and ground attack commences.
This tactic is unpopular for obvious reasons: It alerts the
enemy defender and provides them the military advantage to
prepare for the attack. The United States did not do this ahead
of its initial invasion of Iraq in 2003, which involved major urban
battles to include in Baghdad. It did not do this before its April
2004 Battle of Fallujah (though it did send civilian warnings
before the Second Battle of Fallujah six months later).
By contrast, Israel provided days and then weeks of warnings,
as well as time for civilians to evacuate multiple cities in
northern Gaza before starting the main air-ground attack of
urban areas. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) employed their
practice of calling and texting ahead of an air strike as well as
roof-knocking, where they drop small munitions on the roof of
a building notifying everyone to evacuate the building before
a strike. No military has ever implemented any of these practices in
war before.
The IDF has also air-dropped flyers to give civilians
instructions on when and how to evacuate, including with
safe corridors. (The U.S. implemented these tactics in its
second battle of Fallujah and 2016-2017 operation against
ISIS in Mosul.) Israel has dropped over 520,000 pamphlets,
and broadcast over radio and through social media messages
to provide instruction for civilians to leave combat areas.
Israel's use of real phone calls to civilians in combat areas
(19,734), SMS texts (64,399) and pre-recorded calls
(almost 6 million) to provide instructions on evacuations is
also unprecedented.
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